Bet On USA vs Türkiye & Get Up To $1,500 back In Bonus Bets

The USMNT has already clinched Group D — its first World Cup group win since 2010 — after a 4-1 rout of Paraguay and a 2-0 win over Australia. So Matchday 3 against Türkiye at SoFi Stadium (Inglewood) isn't about advancement; it's about history. A win would make it three-for-three and a perfect nine points — something the U.S. men have never done at a World Cup in the modern four-team-group format — and they'd do it with a young, rotated side. Mauricio Pochettino has confirmed heavy rotation, so the real game here is roster management, not three points.

That rotation is the whole matchup. The four players a yellow card away from a Round-of-32 suspension — Tyler Adams, Folarin Balogun, Chris Richards, and Antonee Robinson — are set to sit, and Christian Pulisic is being eased back from a calf strain that kept him out against Australia. The market noticed: BetMGM's matchday preview opened the U.S. at -250 on the moneyline, but the live number has collapsed to around -110 (as of June 25) as the depleted lineup got priced in. When a line moves that far on team news, it's the market telling you a U.S. B-team is closer to a coin flip than the brand name suggests.

Türkiye, already eliminated after losses to Australia (2-0) and Paraguay (1-0), is still the definition of a dangerous out. They generated roughly 2.1 expected goals to Paraguay's 0.3 (ESPN) and still lost 1-0 — part of a stunning run of 62 shots without a goal across two games — and they beat a rotated U.S. side 2-1 in a June 2025 friendly, scoring inside the first minute. The U.S., for its part, has been winless against European opposition since the 2022 World Cup, so a depleted lineup against a desperate UEFA side is exactly the kind of spot the market respects. For the contrarian, BetMGM's preview lists Türkiye Draw No Bet at +175 (per BetMGM, June 25); like the moneyline, expect that price to have shortened as the rotation news landed, so check the live number first.

Beyond the moneyline, the total sits at 2.5 and the player-prop board is where a rotated, end-to-end game gets interesting — whether the read is the over, a Türkiye anytime scorer finally breaking through, or simply the U.S. finishing off the perfect group stage. New bettors who aren't set up yet can place a first bet of $10 and get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win — a useful cushion for a match with this much lineup uncertainty baked in. Must be 21+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.